Within the 2023 Karnataka Meeting polls, an attention-grabbing statement emerged because the BJP maintained its total vote share of 36 p.c within the state. Regardless of this, the celebration skilled a big decline, shedding over 40 p.c of its present 116 seats within the Meeting.
The BJP’s decreased seat depend of 65 regardless of sustaining a 36 p.c vote share within the 2023 Karnataka Meeting elections could be attributed to 2 essential elements. Firstly, not like in 2018 when the celebration secured 104 seats with the identical vote share, the present excessive vote share primarily originates from two particular areas, specifically Outdated Mysore and Bengaluru. Secondly, the BJP has managed to garner votes from the JDS’s help base in south Karnataka; nonetheless, this strategic shift has not translated into successful seats in that area.
An evaluation of the newest polls, which witnessed a outstanding 73 p.c voter turnout, highlights the distribution of seats gained by the Congress, BJP, and JDS throughout completely different areas. The Congress celebration skilled an increase in its vote share, surging from 38 p.c (80 seats) in 2018 to 43 p.c, enabling them to safe victory in 135 seats. However, the JDS noticed a decline in its vote share from 18 p.c (37 seats) to 13 p.c, ensuing within the acquisition of solely 19 seats.
The disparity of seven p.c within the vote share between the Congress and the BJP has translated into a big hole of 70 seats between the 2 events.
The Congress achieved a big victory by securing wins within the Mumbai Karnataka area and central Karnataka, which had been beforehand thought of strongholds of the BJP. Moreover, the Congress garnered emphatic victories in Hyderabad Karnataka, the place they’ve historically carried out nicely, and within the Outdated Mysore area, which was usually dominated by the JDS.
Within the Mumbai Karnataka area, which is thought for its important Lingayat inhabitants constituting the biggest group within the state (17 p.c), the Congress emerged triumphant in 33 out of the 50 seats. This marks a reversal of the 2018 election outcomes when the Congress gained solely 16 seats in comparison with the BJP’s 31 seats.
Within the Hyderabad Karnataka area, the Congress secured victories in 26 out of 40 seats, showcasing a achieve of 5 seats in comparison with the 21 it gained within the area through the 2018 elections. In distinction, the BJP’s seat depend declined by three seats, as they managed to win solely 10 seats this time.
The central Karnataka area witnessed the Congress successful 19 out of 23 seats, exhibiting a considerable enhance of seven seats from the 2018 elections. Conversely, the BJP’s seat tally dropped to 4 seats from the ten seats they’d gained beforehand in 2018.
Within the Outdated Mysore area, which consists of 64 seats, the Congress achieved an distinctive efficiency by securing victory in 43 out of the 64 seats. This marked a big enhance of 23 seats in comparison with the 2018 elections. In the meantime, the BJP witnessed a lack of 11 seats within the area, and the JDS noticed a lower of 12 seats from their respective tallies in 2018.
Bengaluru proved to be the BJP’s stronghold, as they gained 15 out of 28 seats, showcasing an enchancment from their preliminary tally of 11 seats within the 2018 elections. In distinction, the Congress secured victory in 15 seats in 2018 however didn’t witness a change of their seat depend this time. Moreover, the BJP skilled a slight setback in its strongholds within the coastal Karnataka area, successful solely 13 out of 19 seats as in comparison with their earlier victory of 16 seats in 2018. The Congress, however, gained three seats within the area, successful a complete of six seats.
Former Karnataka CM Siddaramaiah attributed the Congress’ victory to the choice made by the folks of Karnataka for a decisive consequence. In accordance with him, the folks of the state desired to offer a majority to a single celebration, which mirrored within the election outcomes.